PL Predictions: Hull's run can't continue at Chelsea, can it? Oh, it can

2026-09-10 · Sky-PL

Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight across the weekend Premier League action.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town, Saturday 3pm

Ipswich's defeat to Liverpool may actually have hidden a reasonably encouraging performance - it certainly left boss Gary O'Neil very positive.

And, despite winning at Fulham, Palace were comprehensively second best across all the major performance metrics. Taking away the Glasner defensive structure is a concern for me, eight goals conceded in three games can't go on. This line of thinking does make the 10/11 quotes for a home win look really easy to pass up. Whether this Ipswich side are quite trustworthy enough to become a betting proposition yet is another matter. The draw it is then at 23/10.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Liverpool vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm

Fulham's defensive structure under Alvaro Arbeloa has been wild. Long gone is the stability under Marco Silva. These wide open spaces look tailor-made to give Liverpool transition opportunities. It should be a goal-crazy game.

Fulham's attack has looked dangerous too. They have had the most touches in the opposition box in the Premier League with Josh King leading the charge.

The attacker is reportedly already attracting attention from the England staff after his excellent start - his ability to influence the game from the free role is a proper weapon for Fulham. With goals at both ends on the menu, King looks a tasty price to score at 9/2 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Tottenham vs Everton, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports

As a bettor you simply must be opposing Tottenham's attacking volume until we start to see some evidence that Roberto De Zerbi has fixed their issues. Spurs are still waiting for their first goal of the season which means it's now been 317 minutes of Premier League action since scoring against Everton in May. They've never failed to score in each of their first four league games of a season before, so some more unwanted history could be around the corner.

Interestingly for assessing the goal line, Everton's attack ranks similarly over the first three games to Spurs, in terms of the quality of chances created. This stinks of an under 2.5 goals game at 5/6 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0

Sunderland vs Arsenal, Saturday 8pm

Arsenal are being priced as though this is a mismatch at 4/9 with Sky Bet but the more interesting question is how Sunderland's defensive structure and home form - added to Arsenal's midweek Champions League exertions - may make this a trickier test than the odds suggest. Those looking towards a controlled Arsenal victory rather than a rout are probably on the right lines but the market is completely across that.

The foul numbers surrounding Bukayo Saka is the player prop that interests me most. Saka has already won 10 fouls in three Premier League appearances, putting him second in the division for fouls won. His likely opponent Reinildo Mandava made five fouls in this fixture last season and will be looking to stop Saka by any means possible. It's a high line on paper but Saka to win three or more fouls has a chance at 7/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Coventry City vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

There will be no panic at Coventry despite three loses to start the season - and rightly so. However, only one promoted team from 12 to have lost their first three Premier League games have managed to survive. When losing becomes a habit, it's a hard one to chuck. The 2/1 with Sky Bet about Coventry finishing bottom of the pile could become a popular bet the longer this losing streak continues.

Brighton have the highest expected goals return, most open play crosses and most big chances in the Premier League this season. The 17/20 with Sky Bet for the away win will be a popular play.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Manchester United vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

There are lingering doubt about Manchester United's long-term prospects under Michael Carrick, mostly due to their worrying defensive metrics.

However, Carrick has shown a knack of getting big results against big clubs.

In eight matches against the traditional "big six" and Aston Villa, the United boss has won seven and drawn the other. To put up an average of 2.25 goals scored per 90 across those eight matches is a standout metric which isn't being given enough respect by the market here. United are a 21/10 shot with Sky Bet to win this one which implies a win probability of 33 per cent. That feels low considering home advantage and that Carrick record. Home win it is.

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